MLB Projections

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My MLB projections are generated using the Satchel projection model. I wrote a brief description of how the model works in an earlier post, and it has since grown into a more substantive project. The source code is available on my GitHub.

	To Date		Rest of Season		Total
Team	W	L	W	L	W	L	Make Playoffs (%)	Make Wild Card (%)	Win Division (%)	Win League (%)	Win World Series (%)
ATL	26	14	75	47	101	61	96.81	28.13	68.68	29.44	17.48
LAD	29	16	69	48	98	64	95.23	15.07	80.17	25.82	14.49
NYY	29	15	66	52	95	67	88.90	31.69	57.21	19.55	9.54
PHI	31	13	63	55	94	68	87.04	58.63	28.42	10.90	5.34
BAL	27	14	62	59	89	73	64.59	42.44	22.16	9.53	4.08
MIN	24	18	65	55	89	73	69.07	23.03	46.04	11.97	5.46
CLE	27	17	61	57	88	74	64.36	24.75	39.62	9.37	3.92
CHC	25	19	61	57	86	76	59.48	18.75	40.73	6.13	2.80
SEA	24	20	62	56	86	76	58.81	21.83	36.98	9.44	4.33
HOU	18	25	68	51	86	76	52.72	22.31	30.40	11.56	6.12
TEX	23	22	62	55	85	77	51.24	21.80	29.43	8.88	4.21
SDP	22	24	62	54	84	78	48.38	39.39	9.00	6.39	3.36
MIL	26	17	58	61	84	78	49.30	18.98	30.33	3.86	1.53
TBR	22	22	61	57	83	79	39.18	31.20	7.99	6.04	2.81
TOR	19	23	64	56	83	79	41.28	32.78	8.51	6.78	3.22
ARI	21	23	62	56	83	79	39.59	32.31	7.27	4.71	2.30
NYM	19	23	62	58	81	81	35.32	32.52	2.79	3.74	1.93
STL	18	25	62	57	80	82	32.99	15.76	17.23	3.81	1.90
BOS	22	21	58	61	80	82	23.76	19.61	4.15	2.81	1.23
SFG	20	25	59	58	79	83	26.27	22.73	3.54	2.77	1.30
KCR	26	19	53	64	79	83	22.25	13.40	8.85	1.68	0.57
DET	21	22	56	63	77	85	15.57	10.17	5.39	1.50	0.61
CIN	18	25	57	62	75	87	15.06	7.87	7.19	1.40	0.66
PIT	19	25	54	64	73	89	10.42	5.90	4.52	0.79	0.37
LAA	16	28	55	63	71	91	5.61	3.23	2.38	0.69	0.28
OAK	19	26	49	68	68	94	2.26	1.46	0.80	0.15	0.04
WSN	20	22	47	73	67	95	2.54	2.47	0.07	0.08	0.01
MIA	13	32	53	64	66	96	1.37	1.33	0.03	0.15	0.07
CHW	14	30	49	69	63	99	0.41	0.30	0.10	0.03	0.01
COL	15	28	44	75	59	103	0.20	0.17	0.03	0.01	0.01

Last Updated: May 16, 2024

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