MLB Projections

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My MLB projections are generated using the Satchel projection model. I wrote a brief description of how the model works in an earlier post, and it has since grown into a more substantive project. The source code is available on my GitHub.

	To Date		Rest of Season		Total
Team	W	L	W	L	W	L	Make Playoffs (%)	Make Wild Card (%)	Win Division (%)	Win League (%)	Win World Series (%)
ATL	18	7	83	54	101	61	95.64	18.63	77.01	30.64	17.97
LAD	18	11	78	55	96	66	89.11	18.00	71.10	23.27	13.14
NYY	18	10	75	59	93	69	80.92	32.89	48.03	18.45	9.35
CLE	19	8	70	65	89	73	68.55	21.25	47.29	10.16	4.29
PHI	18	10	71	63	89	73	67.12	50.58	16.55	8.31	4.26
BAL	17	9	70	66	87	75	55.63	35.14	20.48	8.38	3.89
MIN	13	13	73	63	86	76	57.45	23.00	34.44	10.32	5.04
SEA	15	12	71	64	86	76	57.54	22.91	34.62	9.41	4.32
TEX	14	14	72	62	86	76	56.85	23.21	33.65	9.34	4.33
CHC	17	10	69	66	86	76	54.90	22.93	31.97	5.99	2.72
MIL	17	9	67	69	84	78	46.81	21.93	24.88	4.42	1.91
HOU	8	19	76	59	84	78	49.35	22.93	26.42	11.18	6.00
TOR	13	15	71	63	84	78	50.30	35.30	15.00	8.23	3.82
SDP	14	16	69	63	83	79	40.54	29.46	11.08	4.93	2.46
STL	13	14	70	65	83	79	45.55	22.33	23.21	5.36	2.34
NYM	13	13	70	66	83	79	40.79	34.74	6.05	4.48	2.09
TBR	13	15	70	64	83	79	40.46	29.67	10.79	6.26	2.92
ARI	12	16	70	64	82	80	34.22	24.70	9.51	4.71	2.38
SFG	13	15	67	67	80	82	32.63	24.34	8.29	3.50	1.59
CIN	15	12	65	70	80	82	28.23	15.52	12.72	2.31	0.97
BOS	15	13	64	70	79	83	25.08	19.38	5.70	3.06	1.29
DET	15	12	63	72	78	84	22.79	13.12	9.67	2.19	0.89
KCR	17	11	60	74	77	85	20.52	12.08	8.44	1.52	0.51
PIT	14	14	62	72	76	86	18.40	11.19	7.22	1.55	0.65
LAA	10	17	63	72	73	89	10.93	6.55	4.38	1.26	0.56
MIA	6	22	63	71	69	93	3.79	3.54	0.25	0.43	0.21
OAK	11	17	56	78	67	95	2.97	2.04	0.94	0.19	0.06
WSN	12	14	53	83	65	97	2.11	1.97	0.14	0.11	0.03
CHW	5	22	57	78	62	100	0.66	0.50	0.16	0.05	0.01
COL	7	20	50	85	57	105	0.14	0.13	0.01	0.01	0.00

Last Updated: April 28, 2024

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