MLB Projections

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My MLB projections are generated using the Satchel projection model. I wrote a brief description of how the model works in an earlier post, and it has since grown into a more substantive project. The source code is available on my GitHub.

	To Date		Rest of Season		Total
Team	W	L	W	L	W	L	Make Playoffs (%)	Make Wild Card (%)	Win Division (%)	Win League (%)	Win World Series (%)
ATL	19	7	83	53	102	60	96.25	19.56	76.69	30.28	17.51
LAD	18	12	78	54	96	66	88.37	18.15	70.22	22.90	12.78
NYY	19	10	74	59	93	69	82.75	32.16	50.59	18.14	9.20
PHI	19	10	71	62	90	72	70.88	53.72	17.16	9.21	4.45
CLE	19	9	70	64	89	73	66.40	21.95	44.45	9.88	4.38
MIN	14	13	73	62	87	75	59.22	22.07	37.15	10.43	4.67
TEX	15	14	71	62	86	76	58.61	23.11	35.50	9.83	4.45
CHC	17	11	69	65	86	76	53.60	21.37	32.23	5.96	2.69
BAL	17	10	69	66	86	76	53.42	35.62	17.81	7.75	3.69
SEA	15	13	71	63	86	76	55.05	22.82	32.23	9.25	4.49
HOU	9	19	76	58	85	77	50.51	23.36	27.15	11.43	6.12
TOR	14	15	71	62	85	77	51.96	36.27	15.70	8.64	4.19
MIL	17	10	67	68	84	78	46.27	20.84	25.42	4.44	1.80
NYM	14	13	69	66	83	79	43.15	37.24	5.90	4.42	2.08
STL	13	15	70	64	83	79	43.94	20.61	23.33	5.40	2.71
SDP	14	17	68	63	82	80	37.95	27.86	10.10	4.50	2.16
ARI	13	16	69	64	82	80	35.75	25.75	10.01	4.55	2.29
TBR	13	16	69	64	82	80	37.75	28.04	9.71	5.85	2.92
SFG	14	15	67	66	81	81	34.98	25.35	9.63	3.96	1.86
BOS	16	13	64	69	80	82	27.71	21.51	6.20	3.31	1.47
CIN	15	13	64	70	79	83	25.69	13.96	11.73	2.42	1.09
DET	16	12	62	72	78	84	23.71	13.61	10.10	2.31	0.85
KCR	17	12	60	73	77	85	18.68	10.60	8.09	1.73	0.65
PIT	14	15	62	71	76	86	17.42	10.14	7.27	1.49	0.64
LAA	10	18	63	71	73	89	10.09	6.06	4.03	1.14	0.48
OAK	12	17	56	77	68	94	3.36	2.27	1.09	0.24	0.08
MIA	6	23	62	71	68	94	3.29	3.13	0.16	0.38	0.21
WSN	13	14	53	82	66	96	2.29	2.20	0.10	0.09	0.03
CHW	6	22	56	78	62	100	0.78	0.56	0.21	0.08	0.06
COL	7	21	50	84	57	105	0.17	0.12	0.04	0.01	0.01

Last Updated: April 29, 2024

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